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论著·临床研究 | 更新时间:2025-05-13
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妇科恶性肿瘤患者术后麻醉恢复期疼痛预测模型的构建与评价
Establishment and assessment of pain prediction model for patients with gynecological malignant tumor during postoperative anesthesia recovery

广西医学 页码:364-370

作者机构:严丽洁,本科,副主任护师,研究方向为手术室护理。

基金信息:国家自然科学基金(82303547)

DOI:10.11675/j.issn.0253⁃4304.2025.03.06

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目的 构建妇科恶性肿瘤患者术后麻醉恢复期疼痛预测模型并评价模型的预测性能。方法 采用便利抽样法,选取342例行妇科恶性肿瘤切除手术的患者作为研究对象,采用单因素分析和Pearson相关性分析筛选术后麻醉恢复期疼痛的危险因素。再将数据按7∶3的比例随机分为训练集和测试集。基于训练集数据,利用随机森林算法,建立术后麻醉恢复期疼痛风险预测模型,随后绘制训练集和测试集预测拟合图,并对危险因素的重要性进行排序,分析不同危险因素对疼痛发生风险的影响。结果 患者均存在不同程度的术后麻醉恢复期疼痛。训练集疼痛评分为(3.85±1.12)分,测试集疼痛评分为(3.79±1.08)分。基于训练集构建的随机森林模型显示,术中淋巴结清扫、阿片类药物使用剂量、国际妇产科联盟(FIGO)分期、年龄是术后麻醉恢复期疼痛的主要预测因子,基于测试集数据验证的结果显示,该模型在预测精度和稳健性方面具有较好的性能。结论 术中淋巴结清扫、阿片类药物使用剂量、FIGO分期、年龄是妇科恶性肿瘤患者术后麻醉恢复期疼痛的主要预测因子,基于随机森林算法构建的预测模型具有良好的预测性能。

Objective To establish a pain prediction model for patients with gynecological malignant tumor during postoperative anesthesia recovery, and to evaluate prediction performance of the model. Methods A total of 342 patients undergoing gynecological malignant tumor resection were selected as the research subjects by employing the convenience sampling. The risk factors for pain during postoperative anesthesia recovery were screened by using the univariate analysis and Pearson correlation analysis. Then the data were randomly divided into the training set and the test set according to the ratio of 7∶3. Based on the data from the training set, the random forest algorithm was adopted to establish pain risk prediction model during postoperative anesthesia recovery, and then prediction linear fit charts of the training and test sets were drawn. The importance of risk factors was ranked. The influence of different risk factors for the occurrence risk of pain was analyzed. Results All patients had different degrees of postoperative anesthesia recovery pain. Pain score of the training set was 3.85±1.12, and pain score of the test set was 3.79±1.08. The random forest model established based on the training set revealed that intraoperative lymph node dissection, doses of opioids used, International Federation of Gynecology and Obstetrics (FIGO) staging and age were the main prediction factors for postoperative anesthesia recovery pain. The results of data validation based on the test set interpreted that the model exerted favorable performance in the aspects of prediction accuracy and robustness. Conclusion Intraoperative lymph node dissection, doses of opioids used, FIGO staging and age are the main prediction factors for postoperative anesthesia recovery pain in patients with gynecological malignant tumor, and the prediction model established based on the random forest algorithm exerts favorable prediction performance.

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