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论著·临床研究 | 更新时间:2025-11-26
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入院时最低血清钾离子浓度对ICU住院患者短期预后的影响:基于MIMIC⁃Ⅳ数据库的研究
Effect of minimum serum potassium ion concentration at admission on short⁃term prognosis of ICU inpatients: a study based on MIMIC⁃Ⅳ database

广西医学 页码:1598-1605

作者机构:郭先才,在读硕士研究生,主管护师,研究方向为老年护理、重症护理。

DOI:10.11675/j.issn.0253⁃4304.2025.11.10

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  • 参考文献

目的 探讨入院时最低血清钾离子浓度与ICU住院患者短期预后的关系。方法 在MIMIC⁃Ⅳ数据库中筛选出59 843例首次入住ICU的成人患者作为研究对象。收集患者的基本人口信息、生命体征、疾病类型、并发症、实验室检查指标及住院时间等信息,根据入住ICU 24 h内入院时最低血清钾离子浓度,将患者分为低钾组(n=10 675)、正常组(n=48 758)、高钾组(n=410)。采用单因素分析、多因素COX回归模型、限制性立方样条模型、阈值分析、Kaplan⁃Meier生存曲线及亚组分析等方法,分析入院时最低血清钾离子浓度对ICU住院患者30 d内死亡率的影响。结果 纳入的59 843例ICU住院患者中,在入院后30 d内死亡6 831例,其中低钾组死亡1 488例(占比21.78%)、正常组死亡5 225例(占比76.49%)、高钾组死亡118例(占比1.73%)。限制性立方样条分析结果显示,未校正协变量时,入院时最低血清钾离子浓度与ICU住院患者30 d内死亡率呈U型关系,风险最低值为4.07 mmol/L(P<0.001);校正所有协变量后,入院时最低血清钾离子浓度与ICU住院患者30 d内死亡率呈J型关系(非线性P<0.001)。阈值分析结果显示,入院时最低血清钾离子浓度<4.07 mmol/L为ICU住院患者30 d内死亡的保护因素(HR=0.775,P<0.001),入院时最低血清钾离子浓度≥4.07 mmol/L则为ICU住院患者30 d内死亡的危险因素(HR=1.218,P<0.05)。多因素COX回归分析结果显示,校正所有协变量前,高钾组和低钾组ICU住院患者的30 d内死亡率高于正常组(P<0.05);校正所有协变量后,低钾组ICU住院患者的30 d内死亡率高于正常组(P<0.05),但高钾组与正常组ICU住院患者30 d内死亡率差异无统计学意义(P>0.05)。Kaplan⁃Meier生存曲线结果显示,正常组ICU住院患者30 d内的生存率高于低钾组和高钾组,低钾组ICU住院患者30 d内的生存率高于高钾组(P<0.05)。亚组分析结果显示,在患有慢性阻塞性肺疾病及恶性肿瘤的亚组中检测到交互作用(P<0.05)。结论 入院时最低血清钾离子浓度是ICU住院患者30 d内死亡的影响因素,且将入院时最低血清钾离子浓度维持在4.07 mmol/L可能对改善ICU住院患者预后有益。高钾血症患者在ICU中30 d内死亡风险高于低钾血症患者。

Objective To explore the relation between the minimum serum potassium ion concentration at admission and short⁃term prognosis of ICU inpatients. Methods A total of 59 843 adult patients firstly admitted to ICU were screened as the research subjects from the MIMIC⁃Ⅳ database. Information such as general demography, vital signs, disease type, complications, laboratory examination indices, and length of hospital stay was collected. Patients were assigned to low potassium group (n=10 675), normal group (n=48 758), or high potassium group (n=410) according to the minimum serum potassium ion concentration at admission within 24 hours in ICU. Methods such as univariate analysis, multivariate COX regression model, restricted cubic spline model, threshold analysis, Kaplan⁃Meier survival curve, and subgroup analysis were adopted to analyze the effect of the minimum serum potassium ion concentration at admission on the 30⁃day mortality of ICU inpatients. Results Among the 59 843 ICU inpatients enrolled, 6831 died within 30 days after admission, therein 1488 dead cases were in the low potassium group, 5225 in the normal group, and 118 in the high potassium group, accounting for 21.78%, 76.49%, and 1.73%, respectively. The results of restricted cubic spline model analysis revealed that when covariates were not corrected, the minimum serum potassium ion concentration at admission was in a U⁃shaped relation with the 30⁃day mortality of ICU inpatients, with the minimum risk value being 4.07 mmol/L (P<0.001). After adjusting for all covariates, the minimum serum potassium ion concentration at admission was in a J⁃shaped relation with the 30⁃day mortality of ICU inpatients (nonlinear P<0.001). Threshold analysis results indicated that the minimum serum potassium ion concentration at admission <4.07 mmol/L was a protective factor for the 30⁃day mortality of ICU inpatients (HR=0.775, P<0.001); the minimum serum potassium ion concentration at admission ≥4.07 mmol/L was a risk factor for the 30⁃day mortality of ICU inpatients (HR=1.218, P<0.05). The results of the multivariate COX regression analysis interpreted that before adjusting for all covariates, the 30⁃day mortality of ICU inpatients in the high potassium group and the low potassium group was higher than that in the normal group (P<0.05); furthermore, after adjusting for all covariates, the 30⁃day mortality of ICU inpatients in the low potassium group was higher than that in the normal group (P<0.05), but there was no statistically significant difference in the 30⁃day mortality between the high potassium group and the normal group of ICU inpatients (P>0.05). The results of Kaplan⁃Meier survival curve described that the 30⁃day survival rate of ICU inpatients in the normal group was higher than that in the high and low potassium groups, and the 30⁃day survival rate of ICU inpatients in the low potassium group was higher than that in the high potassium group (P<0.05). Subgroup analysis results exhibited that an interaction was detected in the subgroup of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease and malignant tumors (P<0.05). Conclusion The minimum serum potassium ion concentration at admission is the influencing factor for the 30⁃day mortality of ICU inpatients, maintaining the minimum serum potassium ion concentration at 4.07 mmol/L at admission may be the most beneficial for improving prognosis of ICU inpatients. The 30⁃day mortality risk of ICU inpatients with high hyperkalemia is higher than that with hypokalemia.

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